Monday, June 14, 2010
Choosing which phone to buy will be much easier next year!
Wednesday, June 9, 2010
Bill Gates described the iPad to Steve Jobs 4 years ago.
Bill gates explained in detail during this early 2007 interview alongside Steve Jobs, his belief that a device EXACTLY like the iPad would be the device he would depend on the most.
During an earlier portion (Part 3) of the same speech, Bill Gates explained he has no "irresistible urge" to transition his software company towards producing hardware devices. (The XBOX gaming console, has been Microsofts primary attempt to offer a combined solution.)
You can also tell Steve Job's real purpose or intended capabilities for the iPhone (which he had announced weeks earlier,) weren't completely fleshed out yet; and this certainly makes since, given the fact the Apple App Store, which really helped give the iPhone any real meaty purpose and usefulness, wasn't introduced for another year and a half; one year after the official release of the first gen iPhone.
A full transcript can also be viewed from the D5's website. A couple of the highlights I'm referring too are as follows:
Kara: What does that device look like in five years? What would be your principal device? Is there one or…
Walt: I could be wrong, I think you carry a tablet with you, right?
Bill: Right.
Walt: Which has not necessarily stormed the world yet.
Bill: Yeah. This is like Windows 1992, I think. That is, I’m unrepentant on my belief.
Walt: OK. But to go back to Kara’s point, what would you each imagine that you would carry as your principal, let’s say, thing to do the Web and…
Kara: I mean, Jeff Hawkins showed a very lightweight device.
Walt: Yeah. I don’t know if you guys saw, but Jeff Hawkins showed a Linux-based, very small–I think he called it a companion to a smart phone today.
Kara: A phone companion, which sounded a little naughty.
Walt: It doesn’t matter, you weren’t there, but what would you think you each would be–I assume you carry a tablet PC. I don’t know what brand it is. Maybe you change them up, I don’t know. You obviously carry a MacBook Pro, I would guess, or a MacBook.
Steve: Yeah. Well, and an iPhone.
Walt: And an iPhone?
Kara: You have one?
Steve: I do.
Kara: Right here?
Steve: Yes.
Walt: Well, he has one. He took it out before. Really.
Kara: Sorry.
Walt: He flashed his iPhone earlier today.
Kara: Anyway, go ahead. So what is your device? What’s the device that we should be carrying?
Walt: What’s your device in five years that you rely on the most?
Bill: I don’t think you’ll have one device. I think you’ll have a full-screen device that you can carry around and you’ll do dramatically more reading off of that.
Kara: Light.
Bill: Yeah. I mean, I believe in the tablet form factor. I think you’ll have voice. I think you’ll have ink. You’ll have some way of having a hardware keyboard and some settings for that. And then you’ll have the device that fits in your pocket, which the whole notion of how much function should you combine in there, you know, there’s navigation computers, there’s media, there’s phone. Technology is letting us put more things in there, but then again, you really want to tune it so people know what they expect. So there’s quite a bit of experimentation in that pocket-size device. But I think those are natural form factors and that we’ll have the evolution of the portable machine. And the evolution of the phone will both be extremely high volume, complementary–that is, if you own one, you’re more likely to own the other.
Kara: And then at home, you’d have a setup that they all plug into?
Bill: Well, home, you’ll have your living room, which is your 10-foot experience, and that’s connected up to the Internet and there you’ll have gaming and entertainment and there’s a lot of experimentation in terms of what content looks like in that world. And then in your den, you’ll have something a lot like you have at your desk at work. You know, the view is that every horizontal and vertical surface will have a projector so you can put information, you know, your desk can be a surface that you can sit and manipulate things.
Walt: Can I please have a room in my house that doesn’t have a screen and a projector in it?
Bill: You bet.
Walt: Thanks.
Bill: The bathroom.
Walt: Well…
Kara: That’s the perfect place for it, actually.
Walt: So what’s your five-year outlook at the devices you’ll carry?
Steve: You know, it’s interesting. The PC has proved to be very resilient because, as Bill said earlier, I mean, the death of the PC has been predicted every few years.
Walt: And here when you’re saying PC, you mean personal computer in general, not just Windows PCs?
Steve: I mean, personal computer in general.
Walt: Yeah, OK.
Steve: And, you know, there was the age of productivity, if you will, you know, the spreadsheets and word processors and that kind of got the whole industry moving. And it kind of plateaued for a while and was getting a little stale and then the Internet came along and everybody needed more powerful computers to get on the Internet, browsers came along, and it was this whole Internet age that came along, access to the Internet. And then some number of years ago, you could start to see that the PC that was taken for granted, things had kind of plateaued a little bit, innovation-wise, at least. And then I think this whole notion of the PC–we called it the digital hub, but you can call it anything you want, sort of the multimedia center of the house, started to take off with digital cameras and digital camcorders and sharing things over the Internet and kind of needing a repository for all that stuff and it was reborn again as sort of the hub of your digital life.
And you can sort of see that there’s something starting again. It’s not clear exactly what it is, but it will be the PC maybe used a little more tightly coupled with some back-end Internet services and some things like that. And, of course, PCs are going mobile in an ever greater degree.
So I think the PC is going to continue. This general purpose device is going to continue to be with us and morph with us, whether it’s a tablet or a notebook or, you know, a big curved desktop that you have at your house or whatever it might be. So I think that’ll be something that most people have, at least in this society. In others, maybe not, but certainly in this one.
But then there’s an explosion that’s starting to happen in what you call post-PC devices, right? You can call the iPod one of them. There’s a lot of things that are not…
I think there’s just a category of devices that aren’t as general purpose, that are really more focused on specific functions, whether they’re phones or iPods or Zunes or what have you. And I think that category of devices is going to continue to be very innovative and we’re going to see lots of them.
Kara: Give me an example of what that would be.
Steve: Well, an iPod as a post-PC…
Kara: Well, yeah.
Steve: A phone as a post-PC device.
Walt: Is the iPhone and some of these other smart phones–and I know you believe that the iPhone is much better than these other smart phones at the moment, but are these things–aren’t they really just computers in a different form factor? I mean, when we use the word phone, it sounds like…
Steve: We’re getting to the point where everything’s a computer in a different form factor. So what, right? So what if it’s built with a computer inside it? It doesn’t matter. It’s, what is it? How do you use it? You know, how does the consumer approach it? And so who cares what’s inside it anymore?
Walt: So what are the core functions of the device formerly known as the cellphone, whatever we want to call it? The pocket device. What would you say the core functions, like, five years out, what are the core functions of that pocket device?
Bill: How quickly all these things that have been somewhat specialized, the navigation device, the digital wallet, the phone, the camera, the video camera, how quickly those all come together, it’s hard to chart out. But eventually, you’ll be able to pick something that has the capability to do every one of those things.
And yet, given the small size, you still won’t want to edit your homework or edit a movie on the screen of that size. And so you’ll have something else that lets you do the reading and editing and those things. Now, if we could ever get a screen that would just roll out like a scroll, you know, then you might be able to have the device that did everything.
Walt: You know, in the very first D conference, we had these guys from E Ink here.
Kara: Yeah.
Walt: I’m sure you’ve both talked to them. They were talking about that. That was five years ago. It’s always five years out. So do you…
Bill: Yeah. There’s some advances in projection technology that are more likely to be delivered, I think, than the flexible material guys, but it’s not even on the horizon, no matter which of the two approaches are pursued.
Kara: And any kind of quality.
Bill: We have some Microsoft research people who work on [that] and there’s a lot of investment, but it’s at least in the five-year time frame.
Walt: You, five years from now, what’s going to be on that pocket device?
Steve: I don’t know. And the reason I don’t know is because I wouldn’t have thought that there would have been maps on it five years ago, but something comes along, gets really popular, people love it, get used to it, you want it on there.
So people are inventing things constantly and I think the art of it is balancing what’s on there and what’s not on there, is the editing function. And clearly, most things you carry with you are communications devices. You want to do some entertainment with them as well, but they’re primarily communications devices and that’s what they’re going to be.
Bill Gates described the iPad to Steve Jobs 4 years ago.
Tuesday, June 8, 2010
The easy choice, is not the best choice, but it may be yours
<Should be a blatant red flag, from day one, for any cell phone consumer, when a manufacturer only supports the use of their GSM ("Global System for Mobile Communications") mobile device, when and if distributed, fully "locked", to one and only one carrier in any given region. There is a reason the European market would not stand for such exclusivity, or "fully locked" distribution; as they are much more experienced & educated than their, North American counterparts, where related to the use of GSM, mobile devices.Admittedly, their knowledge stems from a necessity to depend on these GSM networks many years (over a decade,) before they were popular or utilized in the States; due in large part to many of Europe's aging and sometimes, unexpandable, land-line, telephone and data infrastructures. Picture trying to rerun or replace every, antique telephone cable within the, historical, city limits of a Venice, Italy. Additionally, GSM offered a mandatory, UNLOCKED, ease of carier transitions, via a simple SIM card exchange; lending itself perfectly for roaming from carier to carier and country to country within a consumer environment unable to depend on isolation.Don't be attracted to the distorted version of GSM technology, Apple & AT&T are attempting to make you comfortable with. Such limitations, continue to fly directly in the face of the technologies original purpose and value.>
Honestly, I doubt you'll be disappointed. ...this year.
The easy choice, is not the best choice, but it may be yours
Monday, June 7, 2010
iPhone 4, fell far from the tree of inovation!
Here is the anemic list of 8:
- New Design - slimmer and squared off, not really a new feature.
- Higher resolution - desperately needed given this hadn't increased in 2 years.
- New / Faster Processor - this happens as a matter of natural progression to every new computing device.
- Gyroscope - This has become a standard inclusion on all new Smart Phones
- Improved Camera - 5MP and 720p are nothing new either, but not having a removable battery or memory is odd for such a device.
- A new OS Name - Well this is no feature at all, just a new name...
- iBooks - So now there is yet another to choose from, beyond those all ready in the apps store by Amazon and others.
- iAdd - A new way of advertising is hardly something for consumers to be thrilled with. (I mention a real revenue improvement developer's would benefit far more from further down in this blog.)
and a bonus announcement9. Facetime - a WiFi only video chatting application, that introduces yet another video chat API standard.There was also a mention of finally being able to group or organize all the apps most iPhone users must spread across the iPhones numerous, generic "home screens"And there was a mention of some useful improvements to the iPhones e-mail features; unfortunately, for the sake of any claim to innovation or timely introductions, Android phones (and G-mail) has group e-mails into "conversations" since day one.
Perhaps more significant than any of these so called "New Features" were the 3rd party and application announcements shared during the speech, such as Netflix's up-and-coming, playable video upgrade. (Of course this is already available to those platform that suport Adobe Flash, such as Android 2.2 users,)Or even more appealing than most of these 8 key features, was the little $5 app "iMovie for iPhone", which provides some simplified on the fly video editing. However, where will you store all of these HD 720p editable libraries of content. Moreover, how will you quickly and easily remove and protect the edited results or your precious memories while on your vacation? (The phone are not UNLOCKED, so you can't use pre-paid data and GSM cards when traveling to Europe, so don't record anything while over there! Or on vacation in the mountains or on a cruise!)
As Apple admitted, the 960×640 resolution they are finally offering to iPhone users, is 4x times as many pixels as the current iPhone; this represents a part of the problem with Apple's product life cycle and the lack of competition they anticipate dealing with. They have seemingly, no fear, in expecting users of their media device, (such as iPod touch's and the iPhone's,) to deal with such dated displays for as long as 2 years, before bothering to upgrading it. But what consumers don't know their missing out on wont hurt them, right? I guess so... But will this luxuriously & selfishly slow, product development cycle soon become a thing of the past where related to mobile computing platforms of this nature? In the case of the iPhone, Apple is counting on you being STUCK in a two years contract, so you can't complain about the transitioning and improved technologies, which occur each and every month over a 24 month, high-tech, industry time-frame.Those contracts and ignorance are definitely a great thing for Apple to be able to lean on, but a horrible thing for a consumer to be strapped too!
Including their support and availability in a device is no longer news worthy for anything being introduced in 2010. Not including them would be the real news.
Apple is not worrying about innovating here at all!"New Name": "iPhone OS 4", is now "iOS 4". Umm, correct me if I'm wrong but - WHO CARES!!! On top of everything, they had to pay a license fee and get permission to use this rather unoriginal OS name from Cisco. The same company Apple had a court battle with, and lost 2 years ago because Cisco had previously trademarked the iPhone name. Copying names (twice from one company,) is real impressive from a consumer electronics firm which basis it's reputation on innovation and creativity. Hmm... - THIS IS NOT SOMETHING ANY OTHER COMPANY WOULD BRAG ABOUT.You would think such a device, one so nicely poised with a convergence of Mobile and multimedia technologies; all of which, one should be invited to be used while traveling; or at a minimum when one is away from a charging base or another computer; would include the ability to upgrade or change both it's storage and battery supply. In other words when a person wants to travel light, or not worry about a dependency on other bulky technologies, they shouldn't have to. Not very progressive!If you're actually going to have the guts to prevent expandable memory in a mobile device, then why don't you at least get more creative and flexible with cloud based storage. Not taking very good advantage of the cloud or current mobile computing philosophies just doesn't seem prudent; unless you actually believe you can continue to contain and trap and hold your loyal consumers hostage to Apple only solutions in many key areas of their usage and investments.I have been shooting 720p Videos for years on my Sanyo Xacti via SD-cards! Can't imagine trying to do this without ability to use spare battery or additional SD when traveling and/or one gets full!
An embarrassing fact for Apple is, products possessing all of today's "Key features" are all already available and in stores, and that is not a position which Apple is use to so blatantly needing to fend off on a launch (well, announcement) day when they are claiming once again to have such a bleeding edge advantage over their competitors. The on-slot of now viable, smart phone competition; and the countless manufactures and cell phone carriers this competition is stemming from; pits Apple as a veritable underdog, (despite their current market cap,) rather than an innovator. A scenario Steve Job's has proven time and time again, he can't effectively defend against if it is a status that last very long; and his current method of doing business is unfortunately heading down his typical, destructive, limited market share, method of thinking.
Apples method of abusing their fan-base , the development community and being happy with a limited market share where related to their product lines and resulting overall ecosystem has been profitable in the short term of this revolution in mobile computing platforms; however, I don't feel it will be a sustainable method of doing business. You can only fool the consumer market for so long, before they become wise and fickle, and move on to the company offering them a better more flexible product at a better value.
So how much is all this "innovation" going to cost you?
- With a 2 year contract - with AT&T,
- $199 for the 16GB model and
- $299 for the 32GB model.
- AT&T will let you upgrade to an iPhone 4-6 months earlier than usual if you re-up for another 2 years.
- Preorders start June 15th, with the phone in stores on June 24th. 18 more countries in July, 24 more in August, and 40 more in September (total of 88 countries).
Stay away from any company with an agenda to simply dazzle you with marketing or have you believe you are receiving "state-of-the-art" software and hardware, when they are actually holding you back and latching you to long term contracts and soon to be dated technology.
iPhone 4, fell far from the tree of inovation!
Saturday, June 5, 2010
Avoid loosing yourself!
I would now encourage you to go live a life without the regret that all you did was encourage others to believe like you did and understand the things you could comprehend. Instead be proud that you encouraged others to be smarter than you and wiser about decision and chose to avoid resolutions which only reflected the knowledge, experience and wisdom you possessed yesterday or decades before.
Find a way to grow, even when your old. (and I don't mean by gaining weight.) Find a way to accept others, even when your are confortable with yourself. Find a way to assist and be productive, even when you are retired. Find a way to avoid pride, even when you feel sure. Find a way to embrace humility, even when you are accomplished. If you find these things, then you just might avoid loosing yourself.
So go a few of the thoughts this speech inspired me to consider on this exciting Saturday morning. It's exciting because the world is still spinning, and the lungs are still working. Go enjoy it...
Avoid loosing yourself!
Wednesday, June 2, 2010
Apple still doesn't fall far from the tree of its' mid 90's peril
Incidentally, I am no longer a "Fan Boy" for reasons related to decisions such as those mentioned in this additional, "app approval" related article, http://www.theregister.co.uk/2010/06/01/apple_boots_widgety_apps_from_app_store/ ; nor was I personally able to remain "loyal" or naive to Apple's resignation for closed architecture, limited developing environments and poor business practices in the mid 90's.
At that time they were to small of a market share for this philosophy to be successful for its' brand or customers; and today it flies directly in the face of the future and attractive proposition of mobile computing and it's freedom, or power to tap connectivity and the availability of cloud storage, computing and other new and unforeseen, end-user applications.
Apple still doesn't fall far from the tree of its' mid 90's peril
Monday, May 24, 2010
Google Android -VS- Apple iPhone OS
(Unfortunately, just day one's keynote is 2 hours long! Scroll down for highlights!)
- Google Android, version 2.2 (Code name Froyo):
- Google Inspired, HTML 5 Apps like MugTUg (Photo-editing) & Clicker.tv (Mainstream TV Program Search and delivery).
- Google TV
- Puch a video from your Andriod Phone to your Google TV device.
- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BIJoaFrgc-I&NR=1
(3 MINUTES) - Now the ability to push Google Apps to your TV through Google TV!
- Google TV - Logitech, Set Top Device - Controled by iPhone or iTouch
Google Android -VS- Apple iPhone OS
